Oversold

AXON

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth71/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

AXON's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 9 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 14.2%, from $600.73 to $515.67.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 9.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +34.6%, operating margin +2.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 4.1% of revenue. The business score is 71.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 36.3% upside, or about $653.34.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 21.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 43.3% downside, or about $271.79, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AXON vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE199x430x54% lower
PE percentile855070% higher
EPS$2.41$1.7339% higher
FCF$133.2M$121.7M9% higher
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AXON’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

AXON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

AXON’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

AXON PE Valuation

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This table applies AXON's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AXON Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AXON's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AXON Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AXON's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AXON Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AXON's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AXON Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AXON's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AXON Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AXON PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares AXON's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AXON Weekly Price

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This chart uses AXON's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AXON Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AXON's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AXON Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.