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AXTI

Same as last week
Valuation13/ 100
Cash flow & growth69/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential54/ 100

AXTI's valuation is expensive while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 2710× versus the full-history median of 20.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 12.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 12.5/100. The model applies a 22.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 21.3× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 1671.7× PE and $0 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +45.8%, operating margin +34 percentage points. Free cash flow is -15.6% of revenue. The business score is 69.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $0.03 of EPS and a 1671.7× PE, suggesting about $52.87 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $74.49. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.02 of EPS and a 1469× PE, suggesting a share price of about $29.95 — 54% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AXTI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE2,710x167x1,526% higher
PE percentile985097% higher
EPS$0.02-$0.06$0.09 higher
FCF-$19.6M-$22.6M+$3M
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AXTI’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

AXTI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

AXTI’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

AXTI PE Valuation

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This table applies AXTI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AXTI Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AXTI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AXTI Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AXTI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AXTI Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AXTI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AXTI Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AXTI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AXTI Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AXTI PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares AXTI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AXTI Weekly Price

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This chart uses AXTI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AXTI Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AXTI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AXTI Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

COHR

Valuation17/ 100
Cash flow & growth60/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

COHR's valuation is expensive, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Score change since last week

The score fell 10 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.0%, from $279.20 to $281.86. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 10.3 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 74.3× versus the full-history median of 33.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 12.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 16.8/100. The model applies a 40% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 164.6× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 98.8× PE and $6.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +22.5%, operating margin +2.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is -14.5% of revenue. The business score is 60.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $6.20 of EPS and a 98.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $612.54. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 100.6% upside, or about $612.57.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $3.62 of EPS and a 59.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $215.72 — 29% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

COHR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE74x81x9% lower
PE percentile655030% higher
EPS$4.11$0.049,385% higher
FCF-$1B$179.2M675% lower
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COHR’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

COHR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

COHR’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

COHR PE Valuation

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This table applies COHR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

COHR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks COHR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

COHR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks COHR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

COHR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks COHR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

COHR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in COHR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

COHR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

COHR PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares COHR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

COHR Weekly Price

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This chart uses COHR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

COHR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares COHR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

COHR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.