Oversold

BA

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth73/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

BA's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +24.8%, operating margin +7.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is -0.2% of revenue. The business score is 73.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 23.7% upside, or about $260.33.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 28.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 30.8% downside, or about $145.63, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

BA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE91x91x0% lower
EPS$2.31-$9.92$12.23 higher
FCF-$210M-$4.8B+$4.5B
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BA’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

BA’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

BA PE Valuation

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This table applies BA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

BA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks BA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

BA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks BA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

BA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks BA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

BA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in BA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

BA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares BA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

BA Weekly Price

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This chart uses BA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares BA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

BA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

FCN

Valuation66/ 100
Cash flow & growth64/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

FCN's valuation is attractive, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 1.3%, from $153.74 to $151.70. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 1.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 18.3× versus the full-history median of 22.2× shown in the valuation table, producing 63/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 66.4/100. The model applies a 18.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 22.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 20.6× PE and $10.4 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +7.1%, earnings +13.9%, operating margin +0.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 10.6% of revenue. The business score is 63.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $10.40 of EPS and a 20.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $213.87. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 44.4% upside, or about $213.81.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $6.91 of EPS and a 17.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $120.21 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

FCN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE18x23x21% lower
PE percentile3.75093% lower
EPS$8.09$7.2212% higher
FCF$415.6M$200.5M107% higher
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FCN’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

FCN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

FCN’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

FCN PE Valuation

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This table applies FCN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

FCN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks FCN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

FCN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks FCN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

FCN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks FCN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

FCN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in FCN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

FCN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

FCN PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares FCN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

FCN Weekly Price

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This chart uses FCN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

FCN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares FCN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

FCN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.