Oversold

BA

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth73/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

BA's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +24.8%, operating margin +7.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is -0.2% of revenue. The business score is 73.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 23.7% upside, or about $260.33.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 28.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 30.8% downside, or about $145.63, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

BA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE91x91x0% lower
EPS$2.31-$9.92$12.23 higher
FCF-$210M-$4.8B+$4.5B
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BA’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

BA’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

BA PE Valuation

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This table applies BA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

BA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks BA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

BA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks BA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

BA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks BA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

BA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in BA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

BA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares BA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

BA Weekly Price

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This chart uses BA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares BA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

BA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

LTM

Same as last week
Valuation56/ 100
Cash flow & growth74/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

LTM's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 9.9× versus the full-history median of 10.2× shown in the valuation table, producing 51.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 56.1/100. The model applies a 26.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 10.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 10.2× PE and $7.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +20.4%, earnings +30%, operating margin +1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 12.1% of revenue. The business score is 74.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $7.16 of EPS and a 10.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $73.08. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 42.5% upside, or about $73.09.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $4.44 of EPS and a 8.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $39.61 — 23% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

LTM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE9.9x10x5% lower
PE percentile47506% lower
EPS$5.20-$295.40$300.60 higher
FCF$1.9B$379.3M407% higher
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LTM’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

LTM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

LTM’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

LTM PE Valuation

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This table applies LTM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

LTM Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks LTM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

LTM Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks LTM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

LTM Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks LTM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

LTM Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in LTM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

LTM Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

LTM PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares LTM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

LTM Weekly Price

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This chart uses LTM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

LTM Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares LTM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

LTM Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.