Oversold

BAK

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth48/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

BAK's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -9.2%, operating margin +4.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is -12.4% of revenue. The business score is 47.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 37.1% upside, or about $2.59.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 49.1% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 33.2% and the PE falls 23.9%. That gives $0.12 per share at a 8× PE, or about $0.96. Price swings alone suggest 46.4% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

BAK vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE10x5.8x81% higher
PE percentile805061% higher
EPS-$2.52-$1.19$1.33 lower
FCF-$1.7B$112M1,579% lower
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BAK’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

BAK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning negative
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

BAK’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

BAK PE Valuation

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This table applies BAK's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

BAK Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks BAK's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

BAK Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks BAK's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

BAK Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks BAK's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

BAK Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in BAK's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

BAK Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

BAK PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares BAK's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

BAK Weekly Price

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This chart uses BAK's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

BAK Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares BAK's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

BAK Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.