Oversold

BBDC

Valuation25/ 100
Cash flow & growth71/ 100
Upside potential27/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

BBDC's valuation is somewhat elevated while fundamentals provide solid support and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 3.5%, from $9.35 to $9.02. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.6 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 10.9× versus the full-history median of 8× shown in the valuation table, producing 30.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 25.1/100. The model applies a -1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 8.7× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 10× PE and $0.9 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +29%, earnings -13.5%, operating margin +6.3 percentage points. The business score is 70.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $0.89 of EPS and a 10× PE, suggesting about $8.90 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $10.37. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.68 of EPS and a 9.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $6.53 — 28% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

BBDC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE11x12x10% lower
PE percentile775054% higher
EPS$0.83$0.886% lower
FCF$304.7M$81.9M272% higher
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BBDC’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

BBDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

BBDC’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

BBDC PE Valuation

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This table applies BBDC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

BBDC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks BBDC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

BBDC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks BBDC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

BBDC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks BBDC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

BBDC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in BBDC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

BBDC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

BBDC PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares BBDC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

BBDC Weekly Price

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This chart uses BBDC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

BBDC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares BBDC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

BBDC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.