Oversold

BF-A

Valuation81/ 100
Cash flow & growth54/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

BF-A's valuation is historically cheap while fundamentals are somewhat mixed and forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to business results and financial strength. Price fell 2.2%, from $27.75 to $27.13. Reported annual EPS changed from $1.51 to $1.53.

Business results and financial strength added 3.9 points. Valuation and price changes subtracted 2.9 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 17.4× versus the full-history median of 31.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 82.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 80.8/100. The model applies a 4.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 17.6× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 17.9× PE and $1.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -0.8%, earnings -14.5%, operating margin -0.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 23.6% of revenue. The business score is 53.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $1.71 of EPS and a 17.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $30.68. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 15.2% upside, or about $30.69.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.30 of EPS and a 15.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $19.76 — 26% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

BF-A vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE17x28x38% lower
PE percentile245053% lower
EPS$1.53$1.8116% lower
FCF$925M$604.7M53% higher
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BF-A’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

BF-A Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

BF-A’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

BF-A PE Valuation

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This table applies BF-A's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

BF-A Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks BF-A's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

BF-A Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks BF-A's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

BF-A Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks BF-A's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

BF-A Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in BF-A's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

BF-A Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

BF-A PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

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This chart compares BF-A's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

BF-A Weekly Price

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This chart uses BF-A's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

BF-A Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares BF-A's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

BF-A Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.