Oversold

BFAM

Same as last week
Valuation92/ 100
Cash flow & growth60/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

BFAM's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 20.6× versus the full-history median of 61.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 92/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 92.3/100. The model applies a 15.6% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 45.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 24× PE and $3.9 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +8.5%, earnings +3.6%, operating margin +0 percentage points. Free cash flow is 7.7% of revenue. The business score is 60.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $3.94 of EPS and a 24× PE, suggesting a share price of about $94.46. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 45.1% upside, or about $94.49.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $2.70 of EPS and a 19.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $52.76 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

BFAM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE21x166x88% lower
PE percentile45092% lower
EPS$3.16$1.6987% higher
FCF$233.7M$185.8M26% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

BFAM’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

BFAM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

BFAM’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

BFAM PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies BFAM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

BFAM Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks BFAM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

BFAM Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks BFAM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

BFAM Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks BFAM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

BFAM Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in BFAM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

BFAM Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

BFAM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares BFAM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

BFAM Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses BFAM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

BFAM Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares BFAM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

BFAM Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

F

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth55/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

F's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and the outlook is broadly stable, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +1.5%, operating margin +0.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 3.9% of revenue. The business score is 54.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 21.3% upside, or about $16.95.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 23.3%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 30.7% downside, or about $9.68, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

F vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE12x20x42% lower
PE percentile715042% higher
EPS-$1.87$0.92304% lower
FCF$7.3B$8.6B15% lower
Loading historical comparisons…

F’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

F’s outlook is generally stable, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

F PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies F's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

F Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks F's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

F Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks F's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

F Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks F's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

F Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in F's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

F Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares F's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

F Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses F's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares F's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

F Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.