Oversold

BFS

Valuation27/ 100
Cash flow & growth67/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

BFS's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are below averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 4 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 2.3%, from $33.27 to $32.52.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 4.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 22.7× versus the full-history median of 19.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 39.8/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 27.2/100. The model applies a -11.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 21× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +8.7%, earnings +8.3%, operating margin +4.1 percentage points. The business score is 66.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $37.40. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 18.8% downside, or about $26.41, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

BFS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE23x18x26% higher
PE percentile865072% higher
EPS$1.43$1.8322% lower
FCF$86.8M$114.6M24% lower
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BFS’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

BFS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitability--
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

BFS’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

BFS PE Valuation

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This table applies BFS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

BFS Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks BFS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

BFS Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks BFS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

BFS Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks BFS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

BFS Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in BFS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

BFS Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

BFS PE vs Real Estate Sector

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This chart compares BFS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Real Estate sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

BFS Weekly Price

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This chart uses BFS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

BFS Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares BFS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

BFS Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.