Oversold

BGSI

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth78/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

BGSI's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +16.9%, earnings +26.1%, operating margin +3.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 9.2% of revenue. The business score is 77.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with typical movements among stocks in the same sector, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 39.1% upside, or about $125.75.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

Sector price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 22.6%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 38.8% downside, or about $55.32, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

BGSI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE194x181x7% higher
EPS$0.47$0.9048% lower
FCF$330M$267.1M24% higher
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BGSI’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

BGSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

BGSI’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

BGSI PE Valuation

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This table applies BGSI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

BGSI Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks BGSI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

BGSI Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks BGSI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

BGSI Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks BGSI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

BGSI Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in BGSI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

BGSI Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

BGSI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares BGSI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

BGSI Weekly Price

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This chart uses BGSI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

BGSI Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares BGSI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

BGSI Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

F

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth55/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

F's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and the outlook is broadly stable, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +1.5%, operating margin +0.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 3.9% of revenue. The business score is 54.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 21.3% upside, or about $16.95.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 23.3%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 30.7% downside, or about $9.68, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

F vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE12x20x42% lower
PE percentile715042% higher
EPS-$1.87$0.92304% lower
FCF$7.3B$8.6B15% lower
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F’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

F’s outlook is generally stable, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

F PE Valuation

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This table applies F's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

F Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks F's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

F Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks F's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

F Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks F's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

F Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in F's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

F Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares F's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

F Weekly Price

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This chart uses F's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

F Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares F's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

F Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.