Oversold

BILI

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth60/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

BILI's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 2 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 8.3%, from $16.60 to $15.23. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 2.0 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +6.7%, earnings +563%, operating margin +3.3 percentage points. The business score is 59.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 40.8% upside, or about $21.88.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 20.1%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 45.6% downside, or about $8.45, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

BILI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE32x134x76% lower
PE percentile3.65193% lower
EPS$0.48-$1.46$1.94 higher
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BILI’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

BILI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

BILI’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

BILI PE Valuation

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This table applies BILI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

BILI Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks BILI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

BILI Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks BILI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

BILI Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks BILI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

BILI Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in BILI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

BILI Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

BILI PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares BILI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

BILI Weekly Price

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This chart uses BILI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

BILI Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares BILI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

BILI Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

SNDK

Valuation65/ 100
Cash flow & growth75/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential64/ 100

SNDK's valuation is attractive, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 4 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 17.2%, from $1484.98 to $1740.00.

Valuation and price changes added 4.1 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 22.1× versus the full-history median of 63× shown in the valuation table, producing 64.6/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 64.9/100. The model applies a 44.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 63× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +175.3%. Free cash flow is 56.8% of revenue. The business score is 74.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 93.2% upside, or about $3155.63.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 19.5%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 64% downside, or about $588.01, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SNDK vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE22x92x76% lower
PE percentile245052% lower
EPS$73.76-$1.69$75.45 higher
FCF$11.5B$600.6M1,814% higher
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SNDK’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

SNDK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionWide

SNDK’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

SNDK PE Valuation

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This table applies SNDK's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SNDK Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SNDK's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SNDK Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SNDK's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SNDK Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SNDK's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SNDK Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SNDK's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SNDK Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SNDK PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares SNDK's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SNDK Weekly Price

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This chart uses SNDK's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SNDK Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SNDK's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SNDK Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.