Oversold

BLDR

Valuation5/ 100
Cash flow & growth30/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential63/ 100

BLDR's valuation is expensive, fundamentals are below averages and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 14 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 2.8%, from $67.72 to $65.79.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 13.6 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 66.3× versus the full-history median of 13.5× shown in the valuation table, producing 5.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 5.3/100. The model applies a -19.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 16.8× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 53.8× PE and $0.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -9.4%, earnings -86.2%, operating margin -4.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 4.4% of revenue. The business score is 29.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $0.83 of EPS and a 53.8× PE, suggesting about $44.42 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $69.43. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.54 of EPS and a 42× PE, suggesting a share price of about $22.55 — 63% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

BLDR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE66x15x353% higher
PE percentile995098% higher
EPS$0.91$8.8290% lower
FCF$639.3M$1.6B61% lower
Loading historical comparisons…

BLDR’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

BLDR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

BLDR’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

BLDR PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies BLDR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

BLDR Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks BLDR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

BLDR Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks BLDR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

BLDR Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks BLDR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

BLDR Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in BLDR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

BLDR Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

BLDR PE vs Industrials Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares BLDR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

BLDR Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses BLDR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

BLDR Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares BLDR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

BLDR Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

CAT

Valuation18/ 100
Cash flow & growth67/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

CAT's valuation is expensive, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Score change since last week

The score fell 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.7%, from $800.25 to $813.94. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 35.2× versus the full-history median of 17.2× shown in the valuation table, producing 13.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 17.5/100. The model applies a 28.6% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 19.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 30.5× PE and $32.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +18.4%, earnings +18.3%, operating margin -0.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 12% of revenue. The business score is 67.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $32.19 of EPS and a 30.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $983.33. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 20.1% upside, or about $983.10.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $20.24 of EPS and a 28.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $580.07 — 29% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CAT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE35x21x68% higher
PE percentile885077% higher
EPS$23.25$15.0455% higher
FCF$9B$6.8B32% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

CAT’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

CAT’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

CAT PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies CAT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks CAT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks CAT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks CAT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CAT Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in CAT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CAT Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares CAT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CAT Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses CAT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares CAT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CAT Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.