Oversold

BMRC

Valuation80/ 100
Cash flow & growth84/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

BMRC's valuation is historically cheap, strong fundamentals support the investment case, but expected margin pressure limits the outlook, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 4.1%, from $26.63 to $27.73. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 0.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 6.8× versus the full-history median of 11.3× shown in the valuation table, producing 79.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 79.8/100. The model applies a 11.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 10.9× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 7.9× PE and $4.9 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +50.5%, earnings +846.5%, operating margin +31.2 percentage points. The business score is 83.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $4.93 of EPS and a 7.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $38.79 — 39% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $3.45 of EPS and a 6.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $22.38 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

BMRC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE6.8x15x53% lower
PE percentile105080% lower
EPS$4.07$1.68142% higher
FCF$38M$38M0%
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BMRC’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

BMRC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

BMRC’s outlook is mixed, with declining sales expectations a concern.

BMRC PE Valuation

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This table applies BMRC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

BMRC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks BMRC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

BMRC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks BMRC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

BMRC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks BMRC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

BMRC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in BMRC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

BMRC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

BMRC PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares BMRC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

BMRC Weekly Price

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This chart uses BMRC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

BMRC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares BMRC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

BMRC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.