Oversold

BOW

Valuation67/ 100
Cash flow & growth65/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

BOW's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 4 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 0.1%, from $33.60 to $33.65.

Valuation and price changes added 3.3 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 18.2× versus the full-history median of 24.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 65.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 66.7/100. The model applies a 17.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 17.8× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 19.6× PE and $2.4 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +24.9%, earnings +25.9%, operating margin -0.4 percentage points. The business score is 65.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.36 of EPS and a 19.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $46.25. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 37.4% upside, or about $46.26.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.58 of EPS and a 15.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $24.36 — 28% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

BOW vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE18x25x26% lower
PE percentile425016% lower
EPS$1.85$1.2548% higher
FCF$327M$293.7M11% higher
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BOW’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

BOW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

BOW’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

BOW PE Valuation

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This table applies BOW's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

BOW Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks BOW's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

BOW Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks BOW's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

BOW Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks BOW's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

BOW Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in BOW's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

BOW Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

BOW PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares BOW's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

BOW Weekly Price

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This chart uses BOW's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

BOW Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares BOW's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

BOW Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

COIN

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth26/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential54/ 100

COIN's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and the outlook sends mixed signals, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -21%, operating margin -27.3 percentage points. The business score is 25.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 38% upside, or about $241.86.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 53.5% downside, or about $81.50, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

COIN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE45x66x33% lower
PE percentile715043% higher
EPS-$3.84$3.68204% lower
FCF$2.7B$3.7B27% lower
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COIN’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

COIN’s outlook is mixed, supported by an expected return to profitability.

COIN PE Valuation

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This table applies COIN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

COIN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks COIN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks COIN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

COIN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks COIN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

COIN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in COIN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

COIN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares COIN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

COIN Weekly Price

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This chart uses COIN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares COIN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

COIN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.