The score fell 5 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 0.4%, from $42.58 to $42.43.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 4.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Historical cheapness: current PE is 103.5× versus the full-history median of 101.3× shown in the valuation table, producing 48.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 55.8/100. The model applies a 28.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 67.7× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 101.9× PE and $0.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +14.2%, earnings -34.1%, operating margin +1.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 2.3% of revenue. The business score is 57.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $0.57 of EPS and a 101.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $58.00 — 36% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.35 of EPS and a 77.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $27.35 — 36% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.