Oversold

BWXT

Same as last week
Valuation30/ 100
Cash flow & growth61/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

BWXT's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 38.7× versus the full-history median of 25.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 25/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 29.7/100. The model applies a 23.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 39.6× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 43.4× PE and $5.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +22.7%, earnings +21.2%, operating margin -3.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is 9% of revenue. The business score is 61.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $5.18 of EPS and a 43.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $224.79. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 49.7% upside, or about $224.73.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $3.35 of EPS and a 31.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $104.98 — 30% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

BWXT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE39x30x30% higher
PE percentile795059% higher
EPS$3.88$3.0029% higher
FCF$316.8M$145.7M117% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

BWXT’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

BWXT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

BWXT’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

BWXT PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies BWXT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

BWXT Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks BWXT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

BWXT Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks BWXT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

BWXT Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks BWXT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

BWXT Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in BWXT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

BWXT Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

BWXT PE vs Industrials Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares BWXT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

BWXT Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses BWXT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

BWXT Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares BWXT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

BWXT Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.