Oversold

CAE

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth47/ 100
Upside potential29/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

CAE's valuation appears fair and fundamentals are above averages.

Score change since last week

The score fell 3 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 0.5%, from $24.28 to $24.41. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 2.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +5.5%, earnings -31.5%, operating margin -3.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 14.6% of revenue. The business score is 47.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15.6% upside, or about $27.72.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 38.9% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 23.8% and the PE falls 19.8%. That gives $0.49 per share at a 29.9× PE, or about $14.66. Price swings alone suggest 25.5% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CAE vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE37x85x56% lower
PE percentile355030% lower
EPS$0.64$0.26149% higher
FCF$527.2M$152.9M245% higher
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CAE’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

CAE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
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CAE PE Valuation

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This table applies CAE's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CAE Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CAE's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CAE Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CAE's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CAE Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CAE's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CAE Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CAE's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CAE Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CAE PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares CAE's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CAE Weekly Price

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This chart uses CAE's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CAE Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CAE's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CAE Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.