Oversold

CALY

Valuation25/ 100
Cash flow & growth56/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

CALY's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 11 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.3%, from $15.69 to $15.90. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 11.0 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 34.4× versus the full-history median of 23.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 26.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 25.1/100. The model applies a 6.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 32.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 33.2× PE and $0.5 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -37.2%, operating margin +39 percentage points. Free cash flow is 11.1% of revenue. The business score is 56.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $0.52 of EPS and a 33.2× PE, suggesting about $17.40 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $17.78. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.37 of EPS and a 25.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $9.41 — 39% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CALY vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE34x32x8% higher
PE percentile785056% higher
EPS$0.45-$0.90$1.35 higher
FCF$288M-$10.5M+$298.5M
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CALY’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

CALY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

CALY’s outlook is generally improving, with declining sales expectations a concern.

CALY PE Valuation

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This table applies CALY's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CALY Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CALY's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CALY Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CALY's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CALY Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CALY's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CALY Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CALY's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CALY Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CALY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares CALY's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CALY Weekly Price

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This chart uses CALY's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CALY Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CALY's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CALY Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.