Oversold

CARG

Valuation86/ 100
Cash flow & growth83/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

CARG's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 9 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 7.7%, from $36.56 to $33.74. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 9.8 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 18.7× versus the full-history median of 36.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 85.1/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 85.8/100. The model applies a 14.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 28.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 22.5× PE and $2.3 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +6%, earnings +49.6%, operating margin +8.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 31.8% of revenue. The business score is 83.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.26 of EPS and a 22.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $50.75. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 47.4% upside, or about $50.74.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.58 of EPS and a 17.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $27.97 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CARG vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE19x50x62% lower
PE percentile2.25096% lower
EPS$1.84$0.36406% higher
FCF$309.4M$168.9M83% higher
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CARG’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

CARG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

CARG’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

CARG PE Valuation

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This table applies CARG's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CARG Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CARG's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CARG Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CARG's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CARG Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CARG's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CARG Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CARG's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CARG Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CARG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares CARG's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CARG Weekly Price

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This chart uses CARG's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CARG Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CARG's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CARG Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

LCID

ValuationN/A
Cash flow & growthN/A
Upside potentialN/A
Risk potentialN/A

Valuation

The valuation score compares today’s PE with recent history and similar earnings periods. Stronger growth supports a higher valuation; weaker growth lowers it. Earnings that are difficult to compare receive less weight.

Cash flow & growth

The business score reflects revenue and earnings growth, profit margins and free cash flow. Recent results show whether the business is improving or weakening. Measures must fit the business; incomplete or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Reliable data is insufficient to calculate upside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Reliable data is insufficient to calculate downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

LCID vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$13.69-$222.02$208.33 higher
FCF-$6.6B-$2.7B-$3.8B
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LCID’s earnings are above their historical averages.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

LCID’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

LCID PE Valuation

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This table applies LCID's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

LCID Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks LCID's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks LCID's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

LCID Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks LCID's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

LCID Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in LCID's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

LCID Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares LCID's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

LCID Weekly Price

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This chart uses LCID's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares LCID's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

LCID Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.