Oversold

CBOE

Valuation64/ 100
Cash flow & growth75/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

CBOE's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 3.9%, from $310.45 to $298.38. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 21.9× versus the full-history median of 26.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 63.6/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 64/100. The model applies a 11.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 27.2× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 24.5× PE and $15.4 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +11.7%, earnings +50.4%, operating margin +6.5 percentage points. The business score is 75/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $15.44 of EPS and a 24.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $378.72. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 34.8% upside, or about $378.84.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $10.89 of EPS and a 21× PE, suggesting a share price of about $228.48 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CBOE vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE22x30x27% lower
PE percentile245053% lower
EPS$12.83$5.87119% higher
FCF$22.2M$941.9M98% lower
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CBOE’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

CBOE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

CBOE’s outlook is generally improving, with declining sales expectations a concern.

CBOE PE Valuation

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This table applies CBOE's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CBOE Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CBOE's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CBOE Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CBOE's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CBOE Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CBOE's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CBOE Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CBOE's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CBOE Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CBOE PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares CBOE's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CBOE Weekly Price

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This chart uses CBOE's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CBOE Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CBOE's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CBOE Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.