Oversold

CCU

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth45/ 100
Upside potential33/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

CCU's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 1.6%, from $12.07 to $11.88. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.2 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -3%, earnings -30.7%, operating margin -0.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 5.1% of revenue. The business score is 44.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15.4% upside, or about $13.43.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 30.7% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 18.2% and the PE falls 15.3%. That gives $0.49 per share at a 16.4× PE, or about $8.06. Price swings alone suggest 24.3% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CCU vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE19x15x27% higher
PE percentile935087% higher
EPS$0.60$0.8126% lower
FCF$163.6M$80.1M104% higher
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CCU’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

CCU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

CCU’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

CCU PE Valuation

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This table applies CCU's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CCU Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CCU's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CCU Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CCU's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CCU Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CCU's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CCU Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CCU's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CCU Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CCU PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

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This chart compares CCU's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CCU Weekly Price

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This chart uses CCU's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CCU Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CCU's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CCU Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.