Oversold

CDE

Valuation73/ 100
Cash flow & growth86/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

CDE's valuation is historically cheap, strong fundamentals support the investment case and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 6 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 0.5%, from $21.13 to $21.24.

Valuation and price changes added 6.8 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 16.6× versus the full-history median of 29.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 74.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 72.7/100. The model applies a 3.5% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 25× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 20.3× PE and $1.4 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +117.3%, earnings +219.3%, operating margin +1.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is 36.5% of revenue. The business score is 85.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $1.39 of EPS and a 20.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $28.30 — 37% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.03 of EPS and a 15.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $16.37 — 20% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CDE vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE17x35x53% lower
PE percentile135075% lower
EPS$1.24-$0.05$1.29 higher
FCF$1.2B-$44.1M+$1.2B
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CDE’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

CDE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

CDE’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

CDE PE Valuation

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This table applies CDE's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CDE Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CDE's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CDE Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CDE's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CDE Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CDE's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CDE Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CDE's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CDE Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CDE PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares CDE's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CDE Weekly Price

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This chart uses CDE's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CDE Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CDE's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CDE Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.