Oversold

CELH

Valuation68/ 100
Cash flow & growth59/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

CELH's valuation is attractive, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 7.0%, from $32.98 to $30.66. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 1.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 129.6× versus the full-history median of 158.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 63.6/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 67.8/100. The model applies a 20.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 136.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 149.4× PE and $0.3 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +82.9%, earnings -39.6%, operating margin -2.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 15.2% of revenue. The business score is 58.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $0.27 of EPS and a 149.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $40.93. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 50.4% upside, or about $40.94.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.18 of EPS and a 88.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $15.97 — 41% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CELH vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE130x345x62% lower
PE percentile435015% lower
EPS$0.21$0.1455% higher
FCF$462.8M$125.8M268% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

CELH’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

CELH’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

CELH PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies CELH's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks CELH's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks CELH's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks CELH's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CELH Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in CELH's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CELH Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares CELH's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CELH Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses CELH's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares CELH's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CELH Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

FMX

Same as last week
Valuation41/ 100
Cash flow & growth70/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

FMX's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 22.1× versus the full-history median of 19.3× shown in the valuation table, producing 40.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 41.4/100. The model applies a 12.3% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 23.2× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 23.8× PE and $6.4 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +17.3%, earnings +104%. Free cash flow is 7.3% of revenue. The business score is 70.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $6.42 of EPS and a 23.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $153.00. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 30.8% upside, or about $152.97.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $4.46 of EPS and a 18.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $84.37 — 28% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

FMX vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE22x24x7% lower
PE percentile565013% higher
EPS$5.28$4.1826% higher
FCF$3.5B$1.8B100% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

FMX’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

FMX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

FMX’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

FMX PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies FMX's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

FMX Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks FMX's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

FMX Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks FMX's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

FMX Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks FMX's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

FMX Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in FMX's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

FMX Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

FMX PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares FMX's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

FMX Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses FMX's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

FMX Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares FMX's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

FMX Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.