Oversold

CELH

Valuation68/ 100
Cash flow & growth59/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

CELH's valuation is attractive, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 7.0%, from $32.98 to $30.66. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 1.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 129.6× versus the full-history median of 158.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 63.6/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 67.8/100. The model applies a 20.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 136.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 149.4× PE and $0.3 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +82.9%, earnings -39.6%, operating margin -2.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 15.2% of revenue. The business score is 58.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $0.27 of EPS and a 149.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $40.93. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 50.4% upside, or about $40.94.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.18 of EPS and a 88.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $15.97 — 41% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CELH vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE130x345x62% lower
PE percentile435015% lower
EPS$0.21$0.1455% higher
FCF$462.8M$125.8M268% higher
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CELH’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

CELH’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

CELH PE Valuation

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This table applies CELH's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CELH Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CELH's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CELH's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CELH Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CELH's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CELH Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CELH's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CELH Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

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This chart compares CELH's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CELH Weekly Price

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This chart uses CELH's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CELH's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CELH Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

SAM

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth58/ 100
Upside potential40/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

SAM's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +1.8%, operating margin +0.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 9.9% of revenue. The business score is 58.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 20.3% upside, or about $207.58.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 25.5%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 29.9% downside, or about $120.96, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SAM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE24x63x62% lower
PE percentile4.65091% lower
EPS-$6.79$6.81200% lower
FCF$206M$116.9M76% higher
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SAM’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

SAM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

SAM’s outlook is generally improving, with declining sales expectations a concern.

SAM PE Valuation

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This table applies SAM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SAM Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SAM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SAM Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SAM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SAM Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SAM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SAM Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SAM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SAM Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SAM PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

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This chart compares SAM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SAM Weekly Price

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This chart uses SAM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SAM Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SAM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SAM Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.