Oversold

CELH

Valuation68/ 100
Cash flow & growth59/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

CELH's valuation is attractive, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 7.0%, from $32.98 to $30.66. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 1.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 129.6× versus the full-history median of 158.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 63.6/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 67.8/100. The model applies a 20.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 136.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 149.4× PE and $0.3 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +82.9%, earnings -39.6%, operating margin -2.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 15.2% of revenue. The business score is 58.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $0.27 of EPS and a 149.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $40.93. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 50.4% upside, or about $40.94.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.18 of EPS and a 88.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $15.97 — 41% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CELH vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE130x345x62% lower
PE percentile435015% lower
EPS$0.21$0.1455% higher
FCF$462.8M$125.8M268% higher
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CELH’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

CELH’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

CELH PE Valuation

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This table applies CELH's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CELH Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CELH's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CELH's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CELH Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CELH's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CELH Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CELH's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CELH Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

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This chart compares CELH's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CELH Weekly Price

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This chart uses CELH's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CELH's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CELH Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

SPB

Same as last week
Valuation28/ 100
Cash flow & growth70/ 100
Upside potential29/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

SPB's valuation is somewhat elevated while fundamentals provide solid support and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 25.7× versus the full-history median of 17.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 26.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 28/100. The model applies a 15.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 17.8× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 22.4× PE and $4.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +0.8%, earnings +24.8%, operating margin +4.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 10.2% of revenue. The business score is 69.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $4.21 of EPS and a 22.4× PE, suggesting about $94.26 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $99.15. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $2.82 of EPS and a 21.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $60.00 — 30% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SPB vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE26x18x43% higher
PE percentile795059% higher
EPS$3.35$10.2967% lower
FCF$291.6M$42.1M592% higher
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SPB’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

SPB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

SPB’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

SPB PE Valuation

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This table applies SPB's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SPB Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SPB's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SPB Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SPB's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SPB Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SPB's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SPB Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SPB's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SPB Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SPB PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

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This chart compares SPB's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SPB Weekly Price

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This chart uses SPB's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SPB Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SPB's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SPB Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.