Oversold

CHRW

Valuation39/ 100
Cash flow & growth57/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

CHRW's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth.

Score change since last week

The score fell 6 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 1.8%, from $150.39 to $147.64.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 5.9 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 29.2× versus the full-history median of 22.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 33.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 38.8/100. The model applies a 23.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 28.3× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 30.8× PE and $7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -0.1%, earnings +19.4%, operating margin +0.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 3.9% of revenue. The business score is 57.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $6.97 of EPS and a 30.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $214.90. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 40.7% upside, or about $214.96.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $4.53 of EPS and a 23.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $106.98 — 30% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CHRW vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE29x23x29% higher
PE percentile745049% higher
EPS$5.24$4.829% higher
FCF$668.8M$656.5M2% higher
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CHRW’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

CHRW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

CHRW’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

CHRW PE Valuation

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This table applies CHRW's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CHRW Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CHRW's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CHRW Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CHRW's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CHRW Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CHRW's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CHRW Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CHRW's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CHRW Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CHRW PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares CHRW's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CHRW Weekly Price

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This chart uses CHRW's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CHRW Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CHRW's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CHRW Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.