Oversold

CHTR

Valuation92/ 100
Cash flow & growth52/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

CHTR's valuation is historically cheap while fundamentals are somewhat mixed and the outlook sends mixed signals.

Score change since last week

The score rose 12 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 1.1%, from $153.62 to $151.99. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 11.9 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 3.8× versus the full-history median of 12× shown in the valuation table, producing 92.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 92.4/100. The model applies a 8.3% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 9.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 4.6× PE and $44.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -1.5%, earnings +5.5%, operating margin -0.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 8% of revenue. The business score is 52.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $44.83 of EPS and a 4.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $204.96. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 40.6% upside, or about $204.95.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $32.83 of EPS and a 3.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $118.80 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CHTR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE3.8x22x83% lower
PE percentile4.65091% lower
EPS$38.51$28.7234% higher
FCF$4.4B$5.4B20% lower
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CHTR’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

CHTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

CHTR’s outlook is mixed.

CHTR PE Valuation

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This table applies CHTR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CHTR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CHTR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CHTR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CHTR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CHTR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CHTR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CHTR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CHTR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CHTR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CHTR PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares CHTR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CHTR Weekly Price

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This chart uses CHTR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CHTR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CHTR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CHTR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

NFLX

Valuation58/ 100
Cash flow & growth69/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

NFLX's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins.

Score change since last week

The score rose 10 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 4.2%, from $81.72 to $78.25. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 9.2 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Estimated operating-earnings valuation: current PE is 29.7x versus 45.8x in comparable estimated history. The model caps earnings at operating profit after interest, assuming proportional tax and per-share effects. This is an estimate, not a verified investment-gain adjustment.

Reported EPS and PE remain in the valuation table. The same estimate is applied to historical earnings and eligible price scenarios. Its contribution to the score is limited by the available evidence; it does not identify all non-recurring items. Comparable history: 41 weeks.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +16%, operating margin +0.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 22.7% of revenue. The business score is 68.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $3.33 of EPS and a 33.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $110.53 — 42% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $2.29 of EPS and a 28× PE, suggesting a share price of about $64.10 — 29% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NFLX vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE24x49x51% lower
PE percentile115079% lower
EPS$3.18$1.43123% higher
FCF$11B$4.6B137% higher
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NFLX’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionTight

NFLX’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

NFLX PE Valuation

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This table applies NFLX's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NFLX's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NFLX's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NFLX's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NFLX Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NFLX's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NFLX Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares NFLX's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NFLX Weekly Price

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This chart uses NFLX's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NFLX's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NFLX Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.