Oversold

CLGN

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth12/ 100
Upside potential33/ 100
Risk potential80/ 100

CLGN's valuation appears fair, weak fundamentals weigh on the score and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -84.3%, operating margin -2739.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is -2982.5% of revenue. The business score is 11.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 39% upside, or about $4.93.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 45.6%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 80.4% downside, or about $0.70, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CLGN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE38x41x8% lower
PE percentile715042% higher
EPS-$7.78-$1.22$6.56 lower
FCF-$11.6M-$7.6M-$4M
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CLGN’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

CLGN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss widening
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

CLGN’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

CLGN PE Valuation

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This table applies CLGN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CLGN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CLGN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CLGN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CLGN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CLGN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CLGN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CLGN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CLGN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CLGN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CLGN PE vs Healthcare Sector

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This chart compares CLGN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CLGN Weekly Price

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This chart uses CLGN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CLGN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CLGN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CLGN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.