Oversold

CM

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth63/ 100
Upside potential40/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

CM's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins.

Score change since last week

The score fell 9 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 2.8%, from $114.33 to $117.50. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 9.5 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +0.2%, earnings +25.9%, operating margin +3.3 percentage points. The business score is 62.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $131.84. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 17.3% downside, or about $94.81, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE15x10x51% higher
PE percentile965092% higher
EPS$7.54$5.0150% higher
FCF$8B$11.3B29% lower
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CM’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

CM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionTight

CM’s outlook is generally improving, with declining sales expectations a concern.

CM PE Valuation

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This table applies CM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CM Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CM Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CM Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CM Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CM Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CM PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares CM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CM Weekly Price

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This chart uses CM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CM Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CM Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

COIN

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth26/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential54/ 100

COIN's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and the outlook sends mixed signals, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -21%, operating margin -27.3 percentage points. The business score is 25.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 38% upside, or about $241.86.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 53.5% downside, or about $81.50, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

COIN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE45x66x33% lower
PE percentile715043% higher
EPS-$3.84$3.68204% lower
FCF$2.7B$3.7B27% lower
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COIN’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

COIN’s outlook is mixed, supported by an expected return to profitability.

COIN PE Valuation

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This table applies COIN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

COIN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks COIN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks COIN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

COIN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks COIN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

COIN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in COIN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

COIN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares COIN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

COIN Weekly Price

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This chart uses COIN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares COIN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

COIN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.