Oversold

CMCSA

Valuation67/ 100
Cash flow & growth44/ 100
Upside potential30/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

CMCSA's valuation is historically cheap while fundamentals are somewhat mixed and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 2.1%, from $27.06 to $26.49. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.5 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 8.2× versus the full-history median of 11.4× shown in the valuation table, producing 71.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 66.7/100. The model applies a 1.3% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 8.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 8.3× PE and $3.4 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +0.6%, earnings -48.8%, operating margin -3.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 16.4% of revenue. The business score is 43.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $3.37 of EPS and a 8.3× PE, suggesting about $28.02 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $28.98. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $2.62 of EPS and a 7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $18.48 — 27% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CMCSA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE8.2x14x41% lower
PE percentile245052% lower
EPS$3.09$3.327% lower
FCF$20.4B$14.8B38% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

CMCSA’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

CMCSA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

CMCSA’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

CMCSA PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies CMCSA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CMCSA Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks CMCSA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CMCSA Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks CMCSA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CMCSA Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks CMCSA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CMCSA Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in CMCSA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CMCSA Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CMCSA PE vs Communication Services Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares CMCSA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CMCSA Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses CMCSA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CMCSA Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares CMCSA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CMCSA Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

META

Valuation53/ 100
Cash flow & growth58/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

META's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 6.7%, from $578.02 to $616.77.

Valuation and price changes added 0.8 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 24.4× versus the full-history median of 26.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 56.1/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 52.8/100. The model applies a 4.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 26.3× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 26.1× PE and $29.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +27.7%, earnings -3.9%, operating margin -5.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is 18% of revenue. The business score is 57.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $29.84 of EPS and a 26.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $778.17. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 20.1% upside, or about $778.28.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $22.79 of EPS and a 21.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $495.75 — 24% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

META vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE24x26x4% lower
PE percentile265047% lower
EPS$26.54$15.9566% higher
FCF$41B$38.5B7% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

META’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

META Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionModerate

META’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

META PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies META's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

META Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks META's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

META Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks META's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

META Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks META's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

META Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in META's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

META Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

META PE vs Communication Services Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares META's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

META Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses META's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

META Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares META's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

META Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.