Oversold

CMT

Valuation18/ 100
Cash flow & growth37/ 100
Upside potential40/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

CMT's valuation is expensive, fundamentals are below averages, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 13 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 3.5%, from $25.00 to $24.12.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 12.1 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 28.4× versus the full-history median of 14× shown in the valuation table, producing 14.1/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 18.4/100. The model applies a 32.5% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 16.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 24.1× PE and $1.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -7.9%, earnings -21%, operating margin -1 percentage points. Free cash flow is -3.3% of revenue. The business score is 36.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $1.22 of EPS and a 24.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $29.30. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 21.5% upside, or about $29.31.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.74 of EPS and a 22.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $16.51 — 32% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CMT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE28x17x70% higher
PE percentile885076% higher
EPS$0.85$1.1929% lower
FCF-$8.3M$11.8M170% lower
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CMT’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

CMT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

CMT’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

CMT PE Valuation

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This table applies CMT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CMT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CMT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CMT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CMT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CMT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CMT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CMT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CMT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CMT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CMT PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares CMT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CMT Weekly Price

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This chart uses CMT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CMT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CMT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CMT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.