Oversold

CNI

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth63/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

CNI's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth.

Score change since last week

The score fell 4 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 2.1%, from $126.01 to $123.37.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 4.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +3.7%, earnings +7.3%, operating margin +0.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 20% of revenue. The business score is 63.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $140.59. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 18.7% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 10.3% and the PE falls 9.4%. That gives $5.05 per share at a 19.7× PE, or about $99.34. Price swings alone suggest 16.4% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CNI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE22x20x7% higher
PE percentile765052% higher
EPS$5.64$5.277% higher
FCF$2.6B$2.7B6% lower
Loading historical comparisons…

CNI’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

CNI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionTight

CNI’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

CNI PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies CNI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CNI Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks CNI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CNI Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks CNI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CNI Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks CNI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CNI Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in CNI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CNI Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CNI PE vs Industrials Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares CNI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CNI Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses CNI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CNI Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares CNI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CNI Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.