Oversold

COIN

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth26/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential54/ 100

COIN's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and the outlook sends mixed signals, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -21%, operating margin -27.3 percentage points. The business score is 25.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 38% upside, or about $241.86.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 53.5% downside, or about $81.50, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

COIN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE45x66x33% lower
PE percentile715043% higher
EPS-$3.84$3.68204% lower
FCF$2.7B$3.7B27% lower
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COIN’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

COIN’s outlook is mixed, supported by an expected return to profitability.

COIN PE Valuation

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This table applies COIN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

COIN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks COIN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks COIN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

COIN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks COIN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

COIN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in COIN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

COIN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares COIN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

COIN Weekly Price

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This chart uses COIN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares COIN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

COIN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

MPT

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth70/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

MPT's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +10.2%, operating margin +10.9 percentage points. The business score is 69.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 31.6% upside, or about $4.79.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 41.8% downside, or about $2.12, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MPT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE36x14x161% higher
PE percentile975095% higher
EPS-$0.05-$0.31$0.25 higher
FCF$226.8M$504.3M55% lower
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MPT’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

MPT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

MPT’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

MPT PE Valuation

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This table applies MPT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MPT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MPT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MPT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MPT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MPT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MPT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MPT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MPT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MPT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MPT PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares MPT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MPT Weekly Price

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This chart uses MPT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MPT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MPT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MPT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.