Oversold

COIN

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth26/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential54/ 100

COIN's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and the outlook sends mixed signals, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -21%, operating margin -27.3 percentage points. The business score is 25.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 38% upside, or about $241.86.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 53.5% downside, or about $81.50, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

COIN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE45x66x33% lower
PE percentile715043% higher
EPS-$3.84$3.68204% lower
FCF$2.7B$3.7B27% lower
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COIN’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

COIN’s outlook is mixed, supported by an expected return to profitability.

COIN PE Valuation

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This table applies COIN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

COIN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks COIN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks COIN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

COIN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks COIN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

COIN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in COIN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

COIN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares COIN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

COIN Weekly Price

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This chart uses COIN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares COIN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

COIN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

NIO

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth64/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

NIO's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +63.7%, operating margin +29 percentage points. The business score is 63.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 43.2% upside, or about $5.28.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 27.7%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 45.3% downside, or about $2.02, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NIO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$0.28-$1.25$0.97 higher
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NIO’s earnings are above their historical averages.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

NIO’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

NIO PE Valuation

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This table applies NIO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NIO Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NIO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NIO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NIO Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NIO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NIO Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NIO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NIO Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares NIO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NIO Weekly Price

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This chart uses NIO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NIO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NIO Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.