Oversold

COIN

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth26/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential54/ 100

COIN's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and the outlook sends mixed signals, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -21%, operating margin -27.3 percentage points. The business score is 25.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 38% upside, or about $241.86.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 53.5% downside, or about $81.50, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

COIN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE45x66x33% lower
PE percentile715043% higher
EPS-$3.84$3.68204% lower
FCF$2.7B$3.7B27% lower
Loading historical comparisons…

COIN’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

COIN’s outlook is mixed, supported by an expected return to profitability.

COIN PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies COIN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks COIN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks COIN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks COIN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

COIN Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in COIN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

COIN Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares COIN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

COIN Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses COIN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares COIN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

COIN Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

WTM

Same as last week
Valuation91/ 100
Cash flow & growth76/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

WTM's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 4.7× versus the full-history median of 11.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 90.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 90.7/100. The model applies a 24.6% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 9.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 5.1× PE and $604.4 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +8.6%, earnings +446.1%, operating margin +32.5 percentage points. The business score is 75.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $604.35 of EPS and a 5.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $3100.76. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 51% upside, or about $3100.26.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $357.21 of EPS and a 4.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $1586.35 — 23% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

WTM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE4.7x23x80% lower
PE percentile7.75085% lower
EPS$439.41$164.06168% higher
FCF$425M$351M21% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

WTM’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

WTM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

WTM’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

WTM PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies WTM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

WTM Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks WTM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

WTM Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks WTM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

WTM Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks WTM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

WTM Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in WTM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

WTM Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

WTM PE vs Financial Services Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares WTM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

WTM Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses WTM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

WTM Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares WTM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

WTM Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.