Oversold

COLL

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth73/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

COLL's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 5 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 7.2%, from $25.35 to $23.53.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 5.0 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +14.3%, operating margin +1.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 40.6% of revenue. The business score is 72.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 23.6% upside, or about $29.08.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 23.7%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 32% downside, or about $16.00, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

COLL vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE19x24x22% lower
PE percentile565013% higher
EPS$1.24$1.176% higher
FCF$328.3M$186.8M76% higher
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COLL’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

COLL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

COLL’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

COLL PE Valuation

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This table applies COLL's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

COLL Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks COLL's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

COLL Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks COLL's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

COLL Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks COLL's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

COLL Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in COLL's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

COLL Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

COLL PE vs Healthcare Sector

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This chart compares COLL's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

COLL Weekly Price

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This chart uses COLL's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

COLL Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares COLL's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

COLL Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.