Oversold

CPAC

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth72/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

CPAC's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages, but expected margin pressure limits the outlook, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 11 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.8%, from $12.40 to $12.62. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 11.2 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +10.9%, earnings 0%, operating margin +3.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 16.8% of revenue. The business score is 71.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 16% upside, or about $14.55.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 19.9%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 29.6% downside, or about $8.83, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CPAC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE17x13x37% higher
PE percentile815062% higher
EPS$0.72$0.4947% higher
FCF$109.7M$40.7M170% higher
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CPAC’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

CPAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

CPAC’s outlook is mixed, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

CPAC PE Valuation

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This table applies CPAC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CPAC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CPAC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CPAC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CPAC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CPAC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CPAC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CPAC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CPAC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CPAC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CPAC PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares CPAC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CPAC Weekly Price

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This chart uses CPAC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CPAC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CPAC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CPAC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.