Oversold

CRCL

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth76/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential65/ 100

CRCL's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +37.2%, operating margin +16.1 percentage points. The business score is 76.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 73.4% upside, or about $157.10.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 64.9% downside, or about $31.80, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CRCL vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE48x56x14% lower
EPS$1.88-$0.52$2.40 higher
FCF$776.9M$419.8M85% higher
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CRCL’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

CRCL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionWide

CRCL’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

CRCL PE Valuation

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This table applies CRCL's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CRCL Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CRCL's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CRCL Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CRCL's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CRCL Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CRCL's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CRCL Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CRCL's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CRCL Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CRCL PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares CRCL's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CRCL Weekly Price

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This chart uses CRCL's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CRCL Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CRCL's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CRCL Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

LCID

ValuationN/A
Cash flow & growthN/A
Upside potentialN/A
Risk potentialN/A

Valuation

The valuation score compares today’s PE with recent history and similar earnings periods. Stronger growth supports a higher valuation; weaker growth lowers it. Earnings that are difficult to compare receive less weight.

Cash flow & growth

The business score reflects revenue and earnings growth, profit margins and free cash flow. Recent results show whether the business is improving or weakening. Measures must fit the business; incomplete or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Reliable data is insufficient to calculate upside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Reliable data is insufficient to calculate downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

LCID vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$13.69-$222.02$208.33 higher
FCF-$6.6B-$2.7B-$3.8B
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LCID’s earnings are above their historical averages.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

LCID’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

LCID PE Valuation

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This table applies LCID's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

LCID Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks LCID's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks LCID's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

LCID Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks LCID's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

LCID Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in LCID's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

LCID Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares LCID's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

LCID Weekly Price

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This chart uses LCID's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares LCID's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

LCID Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.