Oversold

CRK

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth60/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

CRK's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and expected margin pressure tempers an otherwise stable outlook, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 5 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 6.8%, from $14.29 to $15.26. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 4.5 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +13.8%, operating margin +10 percentage points. Free cash flow is -39.1% of revenue. The business score is 60.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 39.5% upside, or about $20.62.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 45%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 45.1% downside, or about $8.11, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CRK vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE8.5x19x56% lower
PE percentile555010% higher
EPS$1.74$0.69152% higher
FCF-$735.2M-$75M-$660.3M
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CRK’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

CRK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

CRK’s outlook is generally stable, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

CRK PE Valuation

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This table applies CRK's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CRK Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CRK's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CRK Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CRK's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CRK Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CRK's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CRK Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CRK's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CRK Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CRK PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares CRK's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CRK Weekly Price

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This chart uses CRK's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CRK Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CRK's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CRK Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.