Oversold

CRWD

Valuation34/ 100
Cash flow & growth83/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

CRWD's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Score change since last week

The score fell 5 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 2.4%, from $218.40 to $213.10.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 4.5 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 5890× versus the full-history median of 173.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 34.1/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 34.1/100. The model applies a 27.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 173.7× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +24.3%, operating margin +6.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 29.1% of revenue. The business score is 83/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 39.4% upside, or about $288.20.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 19%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 39.1% downside, or about $125.90, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CRWD vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE5,890x375x1,470% higher
PE percentile9849100% higher
EPS$0.04-$0.12$0.15 higher
FCF$1.6B$776.9M102% higher
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CRWD’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

CRWD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionModerate

CRWD’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

CRWD PE Valuation

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This table applies CRWD's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CRWD Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CRWD's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CRWD Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CRWD's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CRWD Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CRWD's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CRWD Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CRWD's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CRWD Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CRWD PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares CRWD's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CRWD Weekly Price

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This chart uses CRWD's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CRWD Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CRWD's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CRWD Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

OUST

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth77/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential62/ 100

OUST's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +62.8%, operating margin +51.9 percentage points. The business score is 76.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 85.2% upside, or about $65.43.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 27.6%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 62.1% downside, or about $13.39, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

OUST vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$0.86-$13.54$12.68 higher
FCF-$82.5M-$80M-$2.5M
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OUST’s earnings are above their historical averages.

OUST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

OUST’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

OUST PE Valuation

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This table applies OUST's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

OUST Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks OUST's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

OUST Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks OUST's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

OUST Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks OUST's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

OUST Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in OUST's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

OUST Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

OUST PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares OUST's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

OUST Weekly Price

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This chart uses OUST's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

OUST Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares OUST's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

OUST Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.