Oversold

CVR

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth65/ 100
Upside potential39/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

CVR's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +7.1%, operating margin +8.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is -5.2% of revenue. The business score is 64.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 26.1% upside, or about $12.93.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 38.4%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 40.1% downside, or about $6.14, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

CVR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE43x42x2% higher
PE percentile795059% higher
EPS-$2.52-$1.15$1.37 lower
FCF-$1.4M-$1.8M+$335.8K
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CVR’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

CVR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
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CVR PE Valuation

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This table applies CVR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

CVR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks CVR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

CVR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks CVR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

CVR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks CVR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

CVR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in CVR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

CVR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

CVR PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares CVR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

CVR Weekly Price

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This chart uses CVR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

CVR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares CVR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

CVR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.