The score fell 4 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 0.9%, from $91.89 to $91.03.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 3.2 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Historical cheapness: current PE is 23.2× versus the full-history median of 21.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 45.8/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 43.4/100. The model applies a 6.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 23× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 23.3× PE and $4.4 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +5.3%, earnings +26.2%, operating margin +2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 11% of revenue. The business score is 69/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $4.42 of EPS and a 23.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $102.75. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 15.1% upside, or about $102.73.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $3.25 of EPS and a 20.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $66.33 — 26% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.