Oversold

DEO

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth50/ 100
Upside potential37/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

DEO's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: limited comparable growth data. The business score is 50/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $99.62. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 23.7% downside, or about $66.10, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

DEO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE12x13x11% lower
PE percentile51502% higher
EPS$7.36$10.8032% lower
Loading historical comparisons…

DEO’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

DEO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

DEO’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

DEO PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies DEO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

DEO Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks DEO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

DEO Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks DEO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

DEO Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks DEO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

DEO Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in DEO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

DEO Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

DEO PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares DEO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

DEO Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses DEO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

DEO Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares DEO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

DEO Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.