Oversold

DLTH

Valuation16/ 100
Cash flow & growth62/ 100
Upside potential20/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

DLTH's valuation is expensive, fundamentals are above averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 9 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 22.8%, from $3.68 to $4.52. Reported annual EPS changed from $-0.32 to $0.16.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 5.4 points. Business results and financial strength subtracted 4.1 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 28.3× versus the full-history median of 16.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 19.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 16.2/100. The model applies a -1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 16.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 22.1× PE and $0.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -8.6%, operating margin +7.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 10.4% of revenue. The business score is 62.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $0.17 of EPS and a 22.1× PE, suggesting about $3.80 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $5.20. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.13 of EPS and a 20.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $2.74 — 39% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

DLTH vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE28x23x25% higher
PE percentile815062% higher
EPS$0.16-$0.06$0.22 higher
FCF$57.5M$12.4M365% higher
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DLTH’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

DLTH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning negative
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

DLTH’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

DLTH PE Valuation

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This table applies DLTH's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

DLTH Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks DLTH's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

DLTH Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks DLTH's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

DLTH Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks DLTH's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

DLTH Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in DLTH's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

DLTH Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

DLTH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares DLTH's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

DLTH Weekly Price

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This chart uses DLTH's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

DLTH Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares DLTH's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

DLTH Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.