Oversold

DRH

Valuation74/ 100
Cash flow & growth62/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

DRH's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 4.9%, from $12.70 to $12.08. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.8 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 16.7× versus the full-history median of 22.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 69.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 74.1/100. The model applies a 28.5% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 25.9× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +1%, earnings +171.3%, operating margin +1.8 percentage points. The business score is 62.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15.2% upside, or about $14.05.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 22.1% downside, or about $9.50, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

DRH vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE17x23x28% lower
PE percentile195062% lower
EPS$0.73-$0.17$0.90 higher
FCF$163.4M$7.2M2,161% higher
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DRH’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

DRH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

DRH’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

DRH PE Valuation

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This table applies DRH's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

DRH Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks DRH's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

DRH Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks DRH's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

DRH Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks DRH's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

DRH Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in DRH's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

DRH Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

DRH PE vs Real Estate Sector

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This chart compares DRH's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Real Estate sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

DRH Weekly Price

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This chart uses DRH's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

DRH Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares DRH's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

DRH Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.