Oversold

EBAY

Valuation19/ 100
Cash flow & growth66/ 100
Upside potential27/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

EBAY's valuation is expensive while fundamentals provide solid support and the outlook sends mixed signals.

Score change since last week

The score fell 10 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 2.1%, from $105.62 to $103.41.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 9.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 22.3× versus the full-history median of 13.3× shown in the valuation table, producing 20.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 19.3/100. The model applies a 7% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 17.6× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 19.6× PE and $5.5 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +14.7%, earnings +6.9%, operating margin -0.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is 20.2% of revenue. The business score is 66.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $5.55 of EPS and a 19.6× PE, suggesting about $108.52 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $123.91. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $4.15 of EPS and a 18.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $77.97 — 28% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

EBAY vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE22x16x38% higher
PE percentile885076% higher
EPS$4.83$6.4125% lower
FCF$2.4B$1.9B30% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

EBAY’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionTight

EBAY’s outlook is mixed.

EBAY PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies EBAY's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks EBAY's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks EBAY's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks EBAY's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

EBAY Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in EBAY's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

EBAY Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares EBAY's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

EBAY Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses EBAY's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares EBAY's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

EBAY Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

NCLH

Valuation69/ 100
Cash flow & growth49/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

NCLH's valuation is historically cheap while fundamentals are somewhat mixed and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 6 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 6.5%, from $16.65 to $15.57. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 6.3 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 9.3× versus the full-history median of 15.4× shown in the valuation table, producing 78.6/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 68.8/100. The model applies a -10.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 15.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 11.8× PE and $1.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +6.2%, earnings +13%, operating margin -0.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is -11.3% of revenue. The business score is 48.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $1.57 of EPS and a 11.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $18.55. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 25.1% upside, or about $18.54.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.12 of EPS and a 8.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $9.65 — 35% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NCLH vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE9.3x17x46% lower
PE percentile155071% lower
EPS$1.60-$4.74$6.34 higher
FCF-$1.2B-$1.5B+$299.3M
Loading historical comparisons…

NCLH’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NCLH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

NCLH’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

NCLH PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies NCLH's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NCLH Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks NCLH's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NCLH Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks NCLH's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NCLH Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks NCLH's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NCLH Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in NCLH's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NCLH Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NCLH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares NCLH's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NCLH Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses NCLH's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NCLH Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares NCLH's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NCLH Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.