Oversold

EGO

Valuation47/ 100
Cash flow & growth71/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

EGO's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 5.4%, from $45.48 to $43.02. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.9 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 15.5× versus the full-history median of 13× shown in the valuation table, producing 38.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 46.5/100. The model applies a 34.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 12.9× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 15.5× PE and $4.1 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +28.5%, earnings +41.5%, operating margin +9.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is -30.9% of revenue. The business score is 70.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $4.15 of EPS and a 15.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $64.12. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 46.6% upside, or about $64.14.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $2.40 of EPS and a 11.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $26.92 — 39% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

EGO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE15x16x1% lower
PE percentile715042% higher
EPS$2.83$0.64342% higher
FCF-$624.4M-$17.9M-$606.5M
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EGO’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

EGO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

EGO’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

EGO PE Valuation

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This table applies EGO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

EGO Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks EGO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

EGO Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks EGO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

EGO Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks EGO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

EGO Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in EGO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

EGO Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

EGO PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares EGO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

EGO Weekly Price

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This chart uses EGO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

EGO Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares EGO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

EGO Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.