Oversold

EPR

Valuation45/ 100
Cash flow & growth68/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

EPR's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 0.7%, from $59.55 to $59.99. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 0.3 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 19× versus the full-history median of 18.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 49/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 44.5/100. The model applies a 3% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 19× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +11.3%, earnings +53.7%, operating margin +1.8 percentage points. The business score is 67.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $68.06. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 21.1% downside, or about $46.69, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

EPR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE19x25x25% lower
PE percentile53506% higher
EPS$3.12$1.33134% higher
FCF$234.3M$396.9M41% lower
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EPR’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

EPR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

EPR’s outlook is mixed, with declining sales expectations a concern.

EPR PE Valuation

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This table applies EPR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

EPR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks EPR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

EPR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks EPR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

EPR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks EPR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

EPR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in EPR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

EPR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

EPR PE vs Real Estate Sector

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This chart compares EPR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Real Estate sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

EPR Weekly Price

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This chart uses EPR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

EPR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares EPR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

EPR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.