Oversold

ERIC

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth63/ 100
Upside potential26/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

ERIC's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages, but expected margin pressure limits the outlook, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.5%, from $9.95 to $10.10.

Valuation and price changes added 0.8 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -5.2%, earnings +45.1%, operating margin +1.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 13.3% of revenue. The business score is 62.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15.5% upside, or about $11.91.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 44.2% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 32.1% and the PE falls 17.8%. That gives $0.53 per share at a 10.8× PE, or about $5.75. Price swings alone suggest 26.2% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ERIC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE13x46x71% lower
PE percentile425016% lower
EPS$0.78$0.31154% higher
FCF$3.2B$2.8B16% higher
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ERIC’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ERIC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

ERIC’s outlook is mixed, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

ERIC PE Valuation

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This table applies ERIC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ERIC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ERIC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ERIC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ERIC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ERIC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ERIC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ERIC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ERIC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ERIC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ERIC PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares ERIC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ERIC Weekly Price

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This chart uses ERIC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ERIC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ERIC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ERIC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

NVDA

Same as last week
Valuation92/ 100
Cash flow & growth93/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NVDA's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 27.6× versus the full-history median of 65.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 89.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 92/100. The model applies a 44.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 50.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 33.9× PE and $12.3 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +83.4%, earnings +125.4%, operating margin +7.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 41.9% of revenue. The business score is 93.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $12.26 of EPS and a 33.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $415.41 — 90% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $7.09 of EPS and a 25.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $178.98 — 18% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NVDA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE28x74x63% lower
PE percentile0.65099% lower
EPS$7.91$1.54413% higher
FCF$127B$33B284% higher
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NVDA’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionWide

NVDA’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

NVDA PE Valuation

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This table applies NVDA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NVDA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NVDA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NVDA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NVDA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NVDA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NVDA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares NVDA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NVDA Weekly Price

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This chart uses NVDA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NVDA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NVDA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.