Oversold

ESQ

Valuation26/ 100
Cash flow & growth61/ 100
Upside potential33/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

ESQ's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 9 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 5.9%, from $112.35 to $118.96. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 8.9 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 19.8× versus the full-history median of 12.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 23.8/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 26.2/100. The model applies a 20.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 15.7× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 17.3× PE and $7.9 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +20%, earnings +11.8%, operating margin -0.8 percentage points. The business score is 60.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $7.87 of EPS and a 17.3× PE, suggesting about $135.83 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $137.84. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $5.19 of EPS and a 16.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $84.69 — 29% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ESQ vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE20x13x54% higher
PE percentile995099% higher
EPS$6.06$4.0450% higher
FCF$60.2M$34.9M73% higher
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ESQ’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

ESQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

ESQ’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

ESQ PE Valuation

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This table applies ESQ's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ESQ Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ESQ's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ESQ Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ESQ's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ESQ Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ESQ's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ESQ Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ESQ's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ESQ Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ESQ PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares ESQ's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ESQ Weekly Price

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This chart uses ESQ's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ESQ Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ESQ's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ESQ Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.